A New Beginning - Our 1992 Russian Federation

I believe that we should approach these separately.

Iran: We shall not give diplomatic support to USA regarding Iran and will strive to be a mediator between Iran and wider West, mainly advancing Iranian cause in Europe and abroad. We shall speak for Iran on diplomatic forums but at this stage we should ultimately respect USA sanctions and won't go against them, but we will also make it clear that military intervention in Iran is out of the question. Our ultimate goal is to position ourselves as diplomatic backer of Iran and to facilitate it's entry into global community.

Iraq: In regards to Iraq we shall take Pan European approach and seek to form a consensus with Germany, France and Italy on how to go further and until which measure we want to defend Iraq.

N.Korea: N. Korea is important buffer to our east, but Chinese influence there cannot be ignored. Ultimately we should coordinate our policy on N.Korea with China and support in as far as China is willing to go as we recognize the shared interests we have with China in N.Korea and its purpose as our common buffer.

Generally im acting on otl knowledge here. I don't want us to fight the West over Iran, so we should just support them diplomatically and in occasions where we can avoid sanctions, but our goal is to position ourselves as a mediator between Iran and the West.

I don't think that we can stop USA invasion of Iraq, but otl France and Germany were against while Russia suprisingly took more pro USA view otl. Here i seek to back German position , but also to Work with France and to some level to include Italy in the process. Goal is to form joint European position and to drive a wedge between EU and USA/UK.

In regards to N.Korea? Chinese interest cannot be ignored, so im all for working in tandem with them as its a lot harder to sanction both of us. Not to mention i kinda want to avoid potentially rivalry with China over influence in N.Korea and i find this approach stabilizing for our mutual interests.



We should seek to invest into it's oil and energy industry and offer them finished products, loans and in technological development in exchange for/resources Oil. Our goal is to help fellow left-wing country that shares ideological similarities with us, this help will be expressed through strictly economic cooperation to facilitate Venezuelan growth and to support its scheme to use its Oil for its sozial development. But we should be pragmatic about it and seek to avoid any military engagements within a region, basically no weapons sale, etc.

As of now we don't want to force USA to intervene and to percieve our actions as a new ideological struggle. We just seek to help economic development of Venezuela and to engage in mutually beneficial trade.


In regards to Latin America. Our approach will be our aspirations to invest into Latin American resources, especially mining industry necessary for Semiconductor industry. We shall also seek to invest into Latin American infrastructure and encourage trade by opening their markets to our products , potentially transfering some of our manufacturing into countries like Brazil and Mexico (it has well established automotive industry and productive capacities due to USA involvment) to gain access to Latin American market . We shall put emphasis on cooperation with Brazil as fellow BRICS member and seek to bring much of Latin America closer to our multipolar world view. We shall also seek to facilitate cultural exchanges and try to spread Russian culture among these countries.

We should dedicate spezial attention to Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua, basically our old friends , but we should only act diplomatically to protect them and to help them in peaceful way.

Generally economic help/interests , working to rise them up as their own Pole independent from USA and to build friendly diplomatic relations with them.

I support @Kriss plan.
 
@panpiotr I give you our production ready Black Eagle.
View attachment 885705
It's basically the best model I could find with a good looking turret, most models use the more tacked on box idea of the prototype.

And the T-72S (basically T-90 hull (upgraded T-72 hull here), but the BE turret above)
View attachment 885706
Nice designs, especially for the black eagle. I hope they improved the ammunition storage safety and better sensors for the both Black Eagle and T-72S.
 
How many units of the Black Eagle did the Army order?
The updated MBT table looks like this in 2002 (not all are MBTs anymore, T-55 > BRT-T55 means the MBT was converted in the heavy APC/IFV)

Equipment Active Service ReservesNotes
T-55 > BRT-T55
10,000​
0​
The rest of the T-55s is sold​
T-62​
0​
0​
Sold/Selling​
T-64​
0​
0​
Scrapped/Scrapping​
T-72 > T-72S​
3,000 (BA)​
(3,000)​
Active Service, the T-72's in reserve are in progress pending available turrets to become T-72S, T-72BA's then move to reserve or to be sold​
T-72 > BMPT
2,000​
0​
Active Service​
T-72 > BRT-T72​
2,000​
0​
Active Service, additional ones are in low grade production​
T-80 > S219 Msta​
4,000​
300​
Active Service, conversion completed post Chechen war​
T-90​
0​
0​
Cancelled, hull upgrades adopted for T-72S​
T-100
Black Eagle​
612 - 2002 prod batch
324 - 2001 prod batch
200 - in 3 test batches

Total 1,136​
0​
Active Service
12,000 total ordered in 2000.
At maximum production about 850 units are to be build per year.
(To be further increased with Ukrainian production capability)​

Nice designs, especially for the black eagle. I hope they improved the ammunition storage safety and better sensors for the both Black Eagle and T-72S.
They did
The Objekt 640 Black Eagle had 7 road wheels as it was a streched T-80 chassis.
Good catch, I forgot to check that. I'll fix the screenshot, apparently the author used the older technical drawings in the link above. Edit: @Belka DNW fixed.
 
Last edited:
1 - Regarding Venezuela, taking advantage of the friendship, try to sign investment agreements, cultural exchanges... At the same time, a company with mixed Russian and Venezuelan capital is created to transform oil into other goods that can benefit the Venezuelan economy by At the same time, it serves to attract them to the Russian market, and ensure that if Venezuela wants to enter the BRICs, Russia will provide all the help that is necessary.

With respect to the other Latin nations, both in the North, the Caribbean and the South, initiate investment programs and joint creation of mixed companies that serve to improve the local economy, acquire public debt and offer cheap loans in exchange for tariff reductions, with the intention that the economies of these nations remain linked to that of Russia. Last but not least, in many of these nations they have problems with crime, offer police training programs, send Russian agents to train in these nations and vice versa, offer security material... with a policy of creating infrastructure of housing, of public works (not only roads, libraries, gardens and parks... financed half between local and Russian companies) could win not only the will of the governments, but of the people, who would see in Russia someone who came to help them.

2 - Do not confront the United States directly, but demand evidence that leaves no doubt that these nations are behind the financing of terrorism, trying to take this issue to the UN, trying to create pressure blocks that dissuade these military interventions
 
1. Please write down, how should further cooperation between Russia and Venezuela look like? Write also, which strategy in regard to the Latin America should be pursued by Russia?
I'll give my support to @Kriss's plan with the additions of @boredviewer1234.
2. Following the invasion of Afghanistan and the Axis of Evil speech by President Bush, more and more intelligence reports coming from Washington suggest that the United States might be really willing to pursue further military actions against Iran, Iraq and North Korea. Please write down, how this issue should be handled by the Russian government?
I'll give my support to @Kriss's plan with the additions of @Matador de Lagartos.
 
MAZVEN is already a thing OTL, futher industrial cooperation would probably look something along these lines. Also, providing oil refiniment technollogy for them so they can maintain their refineires should their current Western suppliers decide to cut them off for some reason.
 
Chapter Twenty: Axis of oil and oil wars in Asia (May - October 2002)
Influence-in-LatAmWebsite_Russia.jpg


In its pursuit of furthering economic cooperation with Venezuela and shaping a comprehensive strategy for engaging with Latin America, Russia devised a multifaceted and nuanced approach. This approach, encompassing strategic investments, technological collaboration, and diplomatic initiatives, aimed to establish enduring ties while respecting the sovereignty of nations. Russia's strategic investment in Venezuela's oil and energy sector was designed to go beyond mere economic transactions. The focus lay on fostering sustainable socio-economic growth by optimizing the utilization of Venezuela's rich oil resources. This encompassed not only financial support but also the infusion of advanced technologies, the development of production capacities, and the establishment of collaborative ventures for the creation of finished products. The goal was to fortify Venezuela's economic capabilities and contribute to its self-sufficiency. Crucially, Russia committed to a strictly non-military approach, refraining from engaging in arms sales or contributing to military conflicts in the region. The emphasis remained on peaceful economic cooperation and diplomatic protection, solidifying Venezuela's autonomy and shielding it from external pressures. Diplomatic initiatives formed a cornerstone of Russia's strategy, involving proactive measures to safeguard Venezuela and support its sovereign decisions. This commitment extended to broader regional engagement, with a focus on fostering diplomatic ties and economic collaboration across Latin American nations.

The broader Latin America strategy embraced a range of economic initiatives and diplomatic efforts to strengthen ties with regional countries. Russia proposed substantial investments in key resources, particularly in the mining industry, which is crucial for semiconductor production. Infrastructure development emerged as a focal point, with contributions aimed at fostering economic growth and opening markets for Russian products. Transferring manufacturing operations to countries like Brazil and Mexico was explored to diversify economic activities and contribute to regional cooperation. Cultural exchanges became a key tool for promoting understanding and collaboration, showcasing Russian culture in Latin American countries to foster mutual appreciation and strengthen diplomatic ties. Strengthening cooperation with Brazil, a fellow BRICS member, became a priority to align Latin American nations with a multipolar world view. This diplomatic emphasis aimed to create a strategic alliance that transcended economic cooperation, contributing to a more balanced global order. Encouraging the creation of sovereign funds in Latin American nations was a key diplomatic measure. This involved advising countries, particularly Venezuela, to invest in the Russian sphere, providing protection against external sanctions and aligning with a multipolar world view. Suggesting the safeguarding of gold reserves in Moscow instead of London was a strategic move to ensure protection against external economic pressures and enhance financial stability.

Initiating diverse investment programs across Latin American nations, including cultural exchanges, joint ventures, and diplomatic initiatives, demonstrated Russia's commitment to long-term collaboration. Addressing regional challenges such as crime through police training programs, security material provision, and collaborative efforts in infrastructure development contributed to regional stability. Public infrastructure development, including housing and public works, became a focus of collaborative efforts between local and Russian companies. This not only strengthened economic ties but also garnered favor among the local population, contributing to a positive perception of Russia's role in the region. By adopting this comprehensive and integrated strategy, Russia aimed to position itself as a key economic partner and diplomatic ally in Latin America, fostering a relationship built on peaceful and mutually beneficial cooperation. This multifaceted approach sought to create a lasting impact, emphasizing shared development, mutual respect, and diplomatic collaboration across the region.

Ali_Khamenei_met_with_Belarusian_President_Lukashenko_(2006_11_06)_03.jpg

(President Lukashenko during his visit to Iran in a meeting with Ali Khamenei)

In response to President Bush's Axis of Evil speech and the escalating situation following the invasion of Afghanistan, the Russian government adopted a diplomatic and pragmatic approach to navigate the complex international landscape. Recognizing the gravity of the intelligence reports suggesting potential military actions against Iran, Iraq, and North Korea by the United States, Russia positioned itself as a key player in shaping the global response. Emphasizing the importance of diplomacy and strategic alliances, Russia sought to be a mediator between Iran and the wider West, advocating for the Iranian cause on international platforms. The government committed to respecting U.S. sanctions on Iran but made it clear that military intervention was not an acceptable option. The ultimate goal was to establish Russia as a diplomatic supporter of Iran, working towards facilitating its entry into the global community. In addressing the situation in Iraq, the Russian government took a pan-European approach, collaborating with key European nations such as Germany, France, and Italy to form a consensus on how to proceed. The objective was to defend Iraq within a united European stance, presenting a diplomatic front that stood against further military interventions. For North Korea, recognized as a vital buffer state in the East, the Russian government coordinated its policy with China, acknowledging the shared interests in maintaining stability in the region. This collaborative approach with China aimed to avoid potential rivalry and sanctions, ensuring a stable environment conducive to mutual interests. Economic considerations played a significant role in Russia's strategy, focusing on investment, joint ventures, and infrastructure development in targeted regions. Strategic alliances, particularly with China and potential collaboration with Japan, were pursued to achieve common goals. The government underscored a cautious and non-confrontational stance, prioritizing diplomatic resolutions over military engagements. To advocate for its position, the Russian government proposed demanding evidence in international forums, particularly the United Nations. This strategy reflected a nuanced and strategic approach that considered geopolitical realities, economic interests, and the importance of diplomatic finesse in responding to the geopolitical shifts initiated by the Axis of Evil speech.

The 2002 Kaspiysk bombing occurred on 9 May 2002, an attack which ripped through the military parade to commemorate the 57th anniversary of Soviet victory in the Second World War on Lenin Street in the city of Kaspiysk, Dagestan. Forty four people, including at least 19 soldiers and 12 children, were killed and 133 wounded in the explosion. The explosive device represented MON-50 directional landmine enhanced for greater destructive capability. On May 16 Kaspiysk police announced that another terrorist attack had been prevented. Three terrorists were caught while planting a MON-100 mine, similar to that detonated on May 9. During the arrest, the suspects presented papers from Dagestan's Ministry of Internal affairs and said that police had no right to arrest them. Further investigation was blocked by the Russian state security service FSB, and the director of the service, Vladimir Putin announced that "the arrested parties had no connection with terrorists". Further fate of these suspects, one of whom was identified as Rashid Dzabrailov, remains unknown. According to the indictment brought after the investigation, the explosion was organized by the Dagestani militant Rappani Khalilov. Khalilov allegedly sent his envoy named Kazim Abdurakhmanov to Dagestan to organize the bombing. Abdurakhmanov offered Abdulkhalim Abdulkarimov to join the plot, and Abdulkarimov agreed. Another militant, Dzhamal Turulayev, ordered Murad Abdurazakov to build the remotely controlled land mine-based bomb. The bomb was delivered to the potential explosion spot by Khanali Umakhanov. Abdulkarimov was videotaping the bomb installation, while Turulayev triggered the explosion by remote control. However, on 1 July 2005, the jury found Abdulkhalim Abdulkarimov and Murad Abdurazakov not guilty of participating in the bombing.They were found guilty on other charges, such as participating in illegal armed formations, possessing weapons and counterfeiting documents, and they were sentenced to 14 years (Abdurazakov) and 11 years (Abdulkarimov) of imprisonment.

Khanali Umakhanov was also found not guilty of most of the charges he was facing in court (including terrorism) on 20 October 2005. He was found guilty of transporting the remote control device that triggered the bomb and sentenced to four years in prison, but the jury decided he did not know how the device was going to get used. The sentence was later reduced to two years on appeal and he was released. After release, he sued the Russian government for being tortured when in custody and unlawful prosecution. On 10 October 2007 the court found the government liable and awarded him 5,000,000 rubles in punitive damages The award was reduced to 3,000,000 rubles on appeal. Six Russian soldiers from units deployed at Buinaksk in Dagestan were also arrested for allegedly selling an anti-personnel mine to the men who carried out the attack. They were put on trial in January 2003.


20050509-6_f1g3335jpg-772v.jpg

(President George W. Bush with his wife Laura in Moscow)

The Treaty Between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Strategic Offensive Reductions (SORT), also known as the Treaty of Moscow, was a strategic arms reduction treaty between the United States and Russia that was in force from June 2003 until February 2011 when it was superseded by the New START treaty. At the time, SORT was positioned as "represent[ing] an important element of the new strategic relationship" between the two countries with both parties agreeing to limit their nuclear arsenal to between 1,700 and 2,200 operationally deployed warheads each. It was signed in Moscow on 24 May 2002. After ratification by the U.S. Senate and the State Duma, SORT came into force on 1 June 2003. It would have expired on 31 December 2012 if not superseded by New START. Either party could have withdrawn from the treaty upon giving three months written notice to the other. SORT was one in a long line of treaties and negotiations on mutual nuclear disarmament between Russia (and its predecessor, the Soviet Union) and the United States, which includes SALT I (1969–1972), the ABM Treaty (1972), SALT II (1972–1979), the INF Treaty (1987), START I (1991), START II (1993) and New START (2010). The Moscow Treaty was different from START in that it limited operationally deployed warheads, whereas START I limited warheads through declared attribution to their means of delivery (ICBMs, SLBMs, and Heavy Bombers). Russian and U.S. delegations met twice a year to discuss the implementation of the Moscow Treaty at the Bilateral Implementation Commission (BIC).

The treaty was submitted for ratification in December 2002. However, the passage of the agreement took about a year because the bill had to be resubmitted after its rejection in committee due to concerns about funding for nuclear forces and about cutting systems that had not yet reached the end of their service lives. Further, the deputies were concerned about the U.S.'s ability to upload reserve nuclear warheads for a first strike (upload potential). The ratification was also problematic because the chairman of the foreign affairs committee of the Duma, Dmitry Rogozin, disagreed with his Federation Council counterpart Margelov. Deputy Rogozin argued that the Moscow Treaty should be delayed because of the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq. In the end, however, this delay never happened. The final vote was similar to START II with nearly a third of the deputies voting against. The ratification resolution mandated presidential reporting on nuclear force developments and noted that key legislators should be included in interagency planning. While President Bush said the treaty "liquidates the Cold War legacy of nuclear hostility" and his security advisor Condoleezza Rice said it should be considered "the last treaty of the last century," others criticized the treaty for various reasons:
  • There were no verification provisions to give confidence, to either the signatories or other parties, that the stated reductions have in fact taken place;
  • The arsenal reductions were not required to be permanent; warheads are not required to be destroyed and may therefore be placed in storage and later redeployed;
  • The arsenal reductions were required to be completed by 31 December 2012, which is also the day on which the treaty loses all force unless extended by both parties;
  • There was a clause in the treaty which provided that withdrawal can occur upon the giving of three months' notice and since no benchmarks are required in the treaty, either side could feasibly perform no actions in furtherance of the treaty and then withdraw in September 2012.

three-barrels-oil-against-background-flags-russia-saudi-arabia.jpg

(21st centry began with a war for domination on the global oil market between Russia nad Saudi Arabia)

Furthermore, a covert agreement forged in 2002 between Russian President Lukashenko and U.S. President George W. Bush in Moscow carried profound implications, driven by Russia's strategic motives to redefine the global energy landscape. At the heart of this clandestine pact lay a nuanced set of motives that propelled Russia into a key player in reshaping the dynamics of the international oil market. Russia's primary motivation stemmed from a calculated ambition to curtail the influence of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), a longstanding powerhouse that held considerable sway over global oil prices. By aligning with the United States in this secret energy partnership, Russia sought to undermine OPEC's hegemony and weaken its ability to dictate market dynamics. This move was not merely a quest for economic dominance but also a strategic maneuver to position Russia as the unrivaled force shaping the future of global energy policies. A pivotal aspect of Russia's motives lay in the aspiration to expand its influence beyond traditional boundaries. The clandestine deal was carefully crafted to project Russia as the world's largest oil exporter, challenging the dominance of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations. By committing to significantly increase oil exports to the United States, Russia aimed to establish itself as an indispensable partner on the American energy stage, gradually replacing traditional allies with a more influential role in shaping U.S. energy policies.

Furthermore, Russia sought to exploit perceived divisions within OPEC, particularly focusing on Saudi Arabia's growing inclination to act independently from Washington. The United States, recognizing an opportunity to rein in the Saudis and reassert control over global oil dynamics, willingly engaged in this covert partnership. Russia's motives extended beyond economic gains; they encapsulated a strategic vision to leverage its newfound alliance with the United States to not only limit OPEC's power but also to propel itself into the forefront of global energy leadership. As this intricate geopolitical ballet unfolded, Russia's motives became clear: to strategically position itself as a global energy powerhouse, challenging established players and reshaping the contours of international energy politics. The 2002 secret deal represented not just an economic collaboration but a calculated move by Russia to ascend the hierarchy of global energy influencers, leaving an indelible mark on the geopolitical stage.

In the wake of the clandestine 2002 agreement between Russia and the United States, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) found itself facing an unprecedented challenge to its long-standing dominance in global oil dynamics. Faced with the prospect of diminishing influence and profits, OPEC countries embarked on a series of defensive maneuvers to counteract the burgeoning energy alliance between Russia and the United States. The OPEC nations, recognizing the potential threat posed by this secret deal, initiated a multifaceted strategy aimed at safeguarding their collective interests and retaining control over the global oil market. One of the primary countermeasures involved a concerted effort to strengthen internal cohesion within OPEC, fostering unity among member nations to collectively withstand the impact of Russia's ambitions. To counterbalance the surge in Russian oil exports to the United States, OPEC nations strategically manipulated oil prices, employing tactics such as production adjustments and coordinated market interventions. By attempting to stabilize or increase oil prices, OPEC aimed to diminish the economic appeal of Russian oil to the United States, thereby safeguarding their own market share and revenue streams. Additionally, OPEC countries actively sought new alliances and partnerships, aiming to diversify their customer base and reduce dependence on any single market. This diversification strategy was designed not only to mitigate the immediate consequences of the Russia-U.S. energy alliance but also to fortify OPEC's global standing in the face of evolving geopolitical dynamics. Furthermore, OPEC nations engaged in diplomatic initiatives to rally support from other major oil-producing regions, creating a united front against the encroaching influence of Russia and the United States. Through diplomatic channels and international forums, OPEC leaders worked tirelessly to garner solidarity among oil-producing nations, emphasizing the importance of a cooperative approach to maintain stability in the global energy landscape.

In response to Russia's bid for expanded global influence, OPEC countries also intensified efforts to enhance their own diplomatic and economic ties. Seeking partnerships beyond traditional allies, OPEC explored collaborations with emerging economies and non-traditional oil consumers, creating a strategic buffer against potential disruptions caused by the Russia-U.S. energy alliance. As the intricate geopolitical chess game unfolded, OPEC's defensive maneuvers revealed a multifaceted approach to safeguarding its position in the global oil hierarchy. The organization's resilience, adaptability, and strategic alliances reflected its commitment to weathering the challenges posed by the Russia-U.S. energy alliance and preserving its longstanding influence in shaping the future of the international oil market. In the midst of the Russia-U.S. energy alliance, the battle for supremacy in global oil markets has unfolded with intensified fervor between longstanding heavyweights Saudi Arabia and Russia. This contest, driven by strategic interests in key Asian markets, particularly China and Japan, has woven a complex geopolitical tapestry marked by economic rivalries and fluid alliances. Saudi Arabia, accustomed to its role as a dominant player in the global oil landscape, found itself facing formidable challenges from Russia's assertive moves to expand its influence. Determined to maintain its foothold in Asia, the Middle Eastern powerhouse launched an aggressive campaign to fortify ties with major Asian economies, placing particular emphasis on China and Japan.

1165px-China’s_import_transit_routes-min.jpg

(China's oil import and transit routes)

China, as the world's second largest oil importer, became a focal point for intense competition between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Recognizing China's pivotal role in shaping the future of global oil consumption, both nations vied for the coveted position of primary oil supplier to this burgeoning economic giant. Saudi Arabia, leveraging historical ties and diplomatic influence, sought to secure its status as China's top oil supplier. Simultaneously, Russia, buoyed by its burgeoning energy partnership with the United States, aggressively pursued opportunities to increase oil exports to China, directly challenging Saudi Arabia's historical dominance. Japan, a steadfast consumer of oil, emerged as another theater in the ongoing oil market wars. Traditionally aligned with Saudi Arabia for its energy needs, Japan faced increasing overtures from Russia. Russia's strategic efforts to strengthen energy ties with Japan aimed to diversify its customer base and decrease dependence on any single market. This move posed a direct challenge to Saudi Arabia's historical dominance in supplying oil to the East Asian economic powerhouse. Amidst these oil market wars, both Saudi Arabia and Russia strategically deployed pricing tactics, production adjustments, and diplomatic overtures to sway the allegiance of China and Japan. The struggle for dominance in these critical markets not only shaped the economic fortunes of the competing nations but also played a pivotal role in determining the geopolitical landscape of Asia. The ongoing conflict between Saudi Arabia and Russia for control over the oil markets in China and Japan underscored the high-stakes nature of energy geopolitics. The outcomes of this struggle would not only dictate the economic fortunes of the involved nations but also carry far-reaching implications for the balance of power in the dynamic and competitive global energy arena.

The Kolka-Karmadon rock ice slide of 2002 stands as one of the most devastating natural disasters in the Caucasus region, leaving an indelible mark on the landscape and the communities it affected. Situated in the North Ossetia-Alania region, this tragedy unfolded against the backdrop of the majestic Mount Kazbek, highlighting the vulnerability of settlements in high-altitude areas to the unpredictable forces of nature. The catastrophic event was set in motion by the sudden collapse of the Kolka Glacier, perched on the northern slope of Mount Kazbek. The glacier's disintegration unleashed an unstoppable force, as a colossal mass of ice, rocks, and debris hurtled down the steep slopes, transforming into a destructive avalanche within the confined gorge of the Genaldon River. The sheer volume of the sliding mass, estimated at approximately 120 million cubic meters, left devastation in its wake as it surged through the valley, covering a distance of about 20 kilometers in a matter of minutes.

The impact was catastrophic, with entire settlements along the Genaldon River valley obliterated by the unstoppable force of nature. The town of Karmadon, as well as numerous villages, bore the brunt of the avalanche, and the human toll was staggering. At least 125 lives were lost, encompassing both residents of the affected areas and the brave rescue workers who responded to the unfolding crisis. The aftermath of the Kolka-Karmadon disaster was a haunting scene of destruction, as homes, infrastructure, and natural features were obliterated, leaving behind a scarred and altered landscape. The tragedy prompted a critical examination of the risks associated with human habitation in avalanche-prone zones and underscored the challenges of predicting and mitigating such events. In the wake of this disaster, efforts were intensified to enhance monitoring and early warning systems for regions susceptible to avalanches. The Kolka-Karmadon rock ice slide serves as a poignant reminder of the capricious power of nature and the imperative of proactive measures to protect communities settled in high-risk areas. As the affected region worked to rebuild and recover, the memory of this tragic event fueled ongoing discussions about the delicate balance between human settlement and the formidable forces of the natural world.

111219_northkorea.jpg


Kim Jong Il, born on February 16, 1941, in Vyatskoye, Soviet Union (now part of Russia), was the son of Kim Il Sung, the founding leader and the first Supreme Leader of North Korea. Kim Jong Il's early life was marked by the political upheavals and conflicts that shaped the Korean Peninsula during the mid-20th century. In the late 1940s, as the Korean War erupted, Kim Jong Il experienced the tumultuous events that would later influence his leadership style and political strategies. His formative years were characterized by exposure to the revolutionary ideals of his father, and he gradually ascended within the political hierarchy of North Korea. Kim Jong Il's education included studies at Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang, where he delved into various subjects, including political economy and Marxist theory. As he immersed himself in the political landscape, his role within the ruling Workers' Party of Korea expanded. By the 1970s, he had assumed key positions in the party apparatus, and his influence continued to grow. Throughout the 1980s, Kim Jong Il solidified his standing within North Korea's power structure. His father, Kim Il Sung, appointed him as his successor, laying the groundwork for a dynastic transition. During this period, Kim Jong Il's focus extended to military matters, and he assumed significant responsibilities in overseeing the country's armed forces. The death of Kim Il Sung in 1994 marked a critical juncture for North Korea, as Kim Jong Il officially assumed the leadership mantle. His leadership style was marked by a combination of authoritarianism, military-first policies, and an emphasis on the ideology of Juche, which championed self-reliance and independence. Kim Jong Il's early years as North Korea's leader were characterized by economic challenges, isolation from the international community, and a persistent focus on military strength. Despite the hardships faced by the North Korean population, Kim Jong Il maintained a strong grip on power, consolidating his rule over the country. The period leading up to 1994 laid the foundation for Kim Jong Il's leadership, providing insights into the political landscape and challenges that would define his tenure as the Supreme Leader of North Korea. Kim Jong Il's leadership in North Korea from 1994 to 2002 was marked by a multifaceted approach to governance, encompassing political control, economic challenges, military prioritization, and diplomatic isolation. Following the death of his father, Kim Il Sung, in 1994, Kim Jong Il faced the monumental task of maintaining the stability of the regime while addressing pressing internal and external issues.

Politically, Kim Jong Il continued the legacy of his father's Juche ideology, emphasizing self-reliance, independence, and the supremacy of the Korean Workers' Party. The regime maintained tight control over information, limiting external influences and ensuring strict adherence to state-sanctioned narratives. Kim Jong Il's leadership style was characterized by a cult of personality, with the ruling family portrayed as the embodiment of North Korean strength and resilience. Economically, North Korea encountered significant challenges during these years. The collapse of the Soviet Union, a key economic and political ally, had severe repercussions on the North Korean economy. The loss of Soviet aid and preferential trade agreements led to the deterioration of industrial infrastructure, exacerbating existing economic difficulties. The Arduous March, a famine that occurred in the mid-1990s, resulted in widespread food shortages and a devastating loss of life. In response to economic challenges, Kim Jong Il maintained a military-first policy, or "Songun," prioritizing the Korean People's Army as a crucial instrument for regime survival. Despite facing economic hardships, the regime allocated significant resources to the military, emphasizing the importance of a strong defense posture. Additionally, North Korea pursued a nuclear weapons program as a means of bolstering its security and gaining leverage on the international stage. Diplomatically, North Korea faced increasing isolation. Tensions with South Korea and the United States escalated, particularly in the aftermath of North Korea's nuclear ambitions. The regime's pursuit of nuclear weapons led to international condemnation and sanctions, further isolating the country. Despite diplomatic challenges, North Korea sought to maintain alliances with countries like China and Russia as a counterbalance to Western pressure.

Kim Jong Il's leadership during this period was characterized by a consolidation of power, as he ensured loyalty from key military and political figures. The regime's propaganda machinery portrayed Kim Jong Il as an infallible leader, reinforcing the cult of personality that surrounded him. This image cultivation played a crucial role in maintaining domestic stability and quelling dissent. In summary, Kim Jong Il's leadership from 1994 to 2002 in North Korea navigated through economic hardships, military prioritization, and diplomatic isolation. These challenges set the stage for subsequent developments in North Korea's trajectory, influencing its approach to security, governance, and international relations in the early 21st century.

TASS206254.jpg

(Kim Jong Il with his entourage after arrival in Moscow before talks with President Lukashenko)

The historic meeting between Kim Jong Il and President Alexander Lukashenko of the Union State marked a significant chapter in North Korea's diplomatic evolution. As the reclusive leader sought to break from isolation, the discussions in Moscow delved into multifaceted aspects of collaboration between North Korea and the Union State. Economic cooperation emerged as a pivotal focus during the talks. Both leaders explored avenues to strengthen economic ties, recognizing the potential for mutual benefit. Discussions encompassed trade partnerships, investment opportunities, and technology exchanges within the framework of the Union State. The prospect of North Korea tapping into the economic prowess of the Union State presented a strategic alternative to mitigate the impact of international sanctions and foster sustainable economic development. Energy cooperation emerged as a key facet of the dialogue, with discussions centering on shared interests in energy resources and infrastructure development. The Union State's expertise in the energy sector, coupled with North Korea's strategic geographical position, offered opportunities for collaborative projects that could address energy needs and contribute to regional stability. Security cooperation was another crucial dimension of the discussions. As North Korea sought to navigate the complex geopolitical landscape, aligning with the Union State provided a platform for enhanced security collaboration. The leaders explored areas of joint interest, including counterterrorism efforts, regional stability, and defense partnerships within the broader context of the Union State alliance.

The meeting also addressed geopolitical alignment, with both leaders acknowledging the shifting dynamics in international relations. By engaging with the Union State, Kim Jong Il signaled a willingness to diversify North Korea's diplomatic engagements and move beyond its historical alliances. President Lukashenko, in turn, recognized an opportunity to bolster the Union State's influence in mediating regional affairs. The international community closely observed these developments, with reactions ranging from cautious optimism to speculation about the potential ramifications. The collaborative efforts between North Korea and the Union State had the potential to reshape regional alliances, challenging the status quo in Northeast Asia. The intricate interplay of economic, security, and geopolitical considerations underscored the complexity of this diplomatic overture. As the discussions unfolded, both leaders faced the challenge of bridging historical differences and establishing a foundation for future collaboration. The success of this unprecedented meeting hinged on the ability to translate diplomatic gestures into tangible partnerships that could withstand the scrutiny of the international community. The outcome of Kim Jong Il's visit to Moscow had far-reaching implications, not only for North Korea and the Union State but also for the broader geopolitical landscape. The diplomatic endeavors undertaken during this historic meeting would reverberate across international relations, shaping the narrative of cooperation and recalibrating the strategic dynamics in a region fraught with historical tensions and geopolitical intricacies.

As the clandestine meeting unfolded, President Lukashenko of the Union State skillfully broached the intricate topic of North Korea's nuclear pursuits during the meeting with Kim Jong Il in Moscow. Aware of the global concerns surrounding nuclear capabilities, President Lukashenko delicately steered the conversation towards international security, setting the stage for a nuanced discussion. The dialogue, initially weaving through various subjects, gradually shifted towards the complex landscape of global security. President Lukashenko, with diplomatic finesse, acknowledged the multifaceted nature of nuclear weapons, recognizing the divergent perspectives on their role as both deterrents and potential threats to global stability. Amidst the casual exchange of ideas, President Lukashenko subtly delved into the delicate matter at hand. He expressed a genuine understanding of North Korea's security concerns but emphasized the global community's unease regarding the proliferation of nuclear weapons. His intention was clear – to persuade Kim Jong Il to reconsider North Korea's nuclear ambitions and explore alternative paths to enhance security and collaboration. Kim Jong Il, however, demonstrated a remarkable ability to navigate the conversation. He artfully highlighted what he perceived as the necessity of North Korea's nuclear program, framing it as a crucial element in safeguarding the nation's sovereignty and deterring potential external threats. Despite President Lukashenko's diplomatic overtures, Kim remained elusive, skillfully sidestepping any commitments or concrete answers.

Undeterred, President Lukashenko continued to explore diplomatic and economic alternatives, proposing that North Korea could achieve its security goals without resorting to nuclear capabilities. However, Kim Jong Il maintained a resolute stance, evading direct responses and leaving President Lukashenko's efforts to influence North Korea's nuclear policy inconclusive. The meeting underscored the complexities of geopolitical negotiations, where even seasoned leaders find it challenging to sway decisions on matters as sensitive as nuclear armament. President Lukashenko's attempt to guide Kim away from pursuing nuclear weapons ultimately proved fruitless, as the North Korean leader adeptly danced around the topic, leaving the prospect of a policy shift shrouded in ambiguity.

RussiaChinaNortKoreaBorder.jpeg

(China followed very attentively talks between North Korea and Russia in Moscow)

Amidst the global stage, the reactions to Kim Jong Il's visit to Moscow gained complexity and depth as the key players, notably China and the United States, delved into the nuances of this unfolding geopolitical development. In Beijing, the Chinese leadership found themselves at a crossroads, grappling with a delicate balance between historical alliances and evolving regional dynamics. As North Korea's traditional ally, China exhibited a mix of curiosity and cautious concern. While outwardly expressing support for diplomatic engagement, behind closed doors, Chinese officials engaged in extensive discussions, probing the nature and implications of North Korea's potential collaboration with Russia. The prospect of a strengthened Moscow-Pyongyang axis prompted Chinese strategists to reevaluate their regional calculus, keenly aware that any significant shift could have far-reaching consequences for stability in Northeast Asia.

On the other side of the Pacific, Washington closely scrutinized Kim Jong Il's visit, with a particular focus on the perennial concern of North Korea's nuclear ambitions. The United States, already entangled in intricate negotiations on global nuclear non-proliferation, monitored the interactions between Kim and Moscow with heightened vigilance. Speculation within the U.S. intelligence community intensified, as policymakers assessed the potential ramifications of North Korea bolstering ties with Russia. The looming question of how this alignment might impact the delicate balance on the Korean Peninsula weighed heavily on the minds of U.S. officials. The reactions from China and the United States mirrored the intricate dance of global diplomacy. China, threading the needle between loyalty to historical allies and the imperatives of contemporary geopolitics, carefully gauged the depth and sincerity of the collaboration between Kim and Moscow. Meanwhile, in the United States, the response remained measured but vigilant, grounded in the broader context of addressing nuclear proliferation challenges on the Korean Peninsula. As Kim Jong Il continued his diplomatic maneuvers, the world watched with a mix of anticipation and concern. The evolving dynamics underscored the interconnected nature of global geopolitics, where seemingly bilateral engagements had the potential to reshape regional landscapes and influence the broader balance of power. The diplomatic stage was set, and each move carried implications that resonated far beyond the immediate meeting rooms of Moscow.

FCCDD06B-DFA1-4E22-9C0F-BC6066EE8544_mw1024_s_n1.jpg

(Anti-muslim and anti-immigrant protest of the far-right in Moscow)

The convulsive waves of the 2002 anti-immigrant Moscow riots, fueled by a tragic incident involving the killing of a Russian young couple in a robbery by an immigrant from Central Asia, cast a dark shadow over the city's multicultural fabric. In the tumultuous aftermath, the protests took an alarming turn as the grievances escalated into a disturbing eruption of anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant sentiment. As the chaos unfolded, the violence extended beyond its initial targets, encompassing Indian and other Asian immigrants who, tragically, became victims of misplaced anger and prejudice. The rioters, driven by a toxic blend of fear and hatred, mistakenly targeted individuals who they perceived to resemble the Central Asian assailant. This troubling development added another layer of complexity to an already volatile situation. The government's response, initially focused on restoring order and understanding the root causes of the unrest, took on an increasingly urgent tone as reports of attacks on innocent immigrants surfaced. Law enforcement agencies found themselves grappling not only with the immediate need to quell the violence but also with the imperative to protect vulnerable communities caught in the crossfire of bigotry.

Religious and community leaders, recognizing the dangerous trajectory the riots were taking, intensified their efforts to foster dialogue and promote a sense of shared humanity. Interfaith initiatives sought to bridge divides, emphasizing that an attack on one community was an attack on the collective social fabric of the city. These voices of reason, however, faced an uphill battle against the rising tide of xenophobia. The involvement of right-wing and left-wing Russian nationalist organizations added a sinister dimension to the unrest. These groups, seizing the opportunity to advance their own agendas, fueled the flames of intolerance and sought to manipulate the chaos for their ideological gains. The government's dual challenge of restoring order while navigating ideological conflicts became increasingly complex. In the aftermath of the riots, the scars left on Moscow's psyche prompted a comprehensive reassessment of policies related to immigration, cultural integration, and law enforcement. The city embarked on an arduous journey of healing and reconciliation, recognizing the imperative of addressing the underlying issues that had led to the eruption of violence. The events of 2002 became a cautionary tale for cities worldwide, prompting introspection on the importance of fostering inclusive societies and implementing proactive measures to prevent the escalation of tensions into full-blown crises. Moscow's experience underscored the need for ongoing efforts to build bridges of understanding, tolerance, and unity in diverse urban environments, ensuring that the lessons learned from the dark chapter of the 2002 riots would guide future endeavors toward a more harmonious coexistence.

gettyimages-50438929-612x612.jpg

(Vladimir Zhirinovsky and Gennady Zugyanov - leaders of the far-right and far-left joined forces in their
anti-muslim and anti-immigrant rhetoric)

The red-brown anti-immigration alliance that emerged in the wake of the 2002 Moscow riots was a surprising and consequential development in Russian politics, bringing together factions from the extreme right and the Communist Party in an unprecedented collaboration. The union of ultra-right movements and communist forces, traditionally viewed as ideologically opposed, added a layer of complexity to the political landscape. At the core of this alliance was a shared fervor against immigration, fueled by the tragic events that triggered the Moscow riots. The heinous crime committed by an immigrant from Central Asia had far-reaching consequences, serving as a catalyst for an unexpected alignment between groups that, under different circumstances, would be considered natural adversaries. Vladimir Zhirinovsky's endorsement of the rioters and their anti-immigrant sentiments found an echo in Gennady Zyuganov's rhetoric, as the leader of the Communist Party strategically shifted his stance to align with the prevailing public sentiment. This convergence marked a departure from conventional political divisions, as both ultra-right and communist factions set aside ideological differences to present a united front against what they perceived as a common threat – immigration.

The red-brown alliance, while centered around anti-immigration sentiments, had broader implications for the political landscape. It reflected a pragmatic approach where political forces, motivated by short-term gains and a desire to tap into popular discontent, found common ground on a singular issue. The alliance, though unofficial, allowed these disparate groups to leverage their combined influence and shape the narrative around immigration policies. The complexity of this alliance lay in the fact that it did not signify a complete ideological merger between the ultra-right and communist factions. Rather, it showcased the adaptability of political actors in responding to emerging issues and capitalizing on shared concerns. The red-brown alliance demonstrated that, at least temporarily, political pragmatism could transcend deep-seated ideological differences in the pursuit of common goals. As the red-brown alliance gained momentum, it became a focal point for observers and analysts studying the evolving dynamics of Russian politics. The question of whether this unexpected collaboration would persist beyond the immediate aftermath of the Moscow riots lingered, raising broader inquiries about the enduring impact of such alliances on the trajectory of Russian political discourse.

In the years that followed, the red-brown alliance continued to shape conversations around immigration policies, with both ultra-right and communist forces maintaining a united front on this critical issue. This collaboration underscored the malleability of political alliances and the potent influence of public sentiment in reshaping the contours of political affiliations in Russia. The red-brown anti-immigration alliance, born out of an unexpected confluence of events, left an indelible mark on the nation's political landscape, challenging preconceived notions and signaling a paradigm shift in the dynamics of ideological cooperation.
 
Last edited:
1. Please write down, how should the Russian government deal with the Moscow riots and the anti-immigration Red-Brown alliance?

2. Please devise a Russian strategy for North Korea.
3. Please choose a legality of abortion in Russia.

A) Legal on request: No gestational limit;
B) Legal on request: Gestational limit after the first 17 weeks;
C) Legal on request: Gestational limit in the first 17 weeks;

D) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, rape*, fetal impairment*, or socioeconomic factors;
E) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, rape, or fetal impairment;
F) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, or fetal impairment;
G) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life*, to her health*, or rape;
H) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life or to her health;
I) Risk to woman's life;

J) Illegal with no exceptions.
 
2. Please devise a Russian strategy for North Korea.
Perhaps we could try to have North Korea give up its nuclear program by bringing them under the Union State nuclear umbrella? Deploy weapons there in the same manner that the US does to Turkey and other allies? Then we bring in China to help us confirm that the program has been shut down, and remains shut down.

This has a very high chance of increasing tensions on the peninsula however, so if anyone has a better idea I am willing to listen.
3. Please choose a legality of abortion in Russia.
A) Legal on request: No gestational limit;
B) Legal on request: Gestational limit after the first 17 weeks;
C) Legal on request: Gestational limit in the first 17 weeks;

D) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, rape*, fetal impairment*, or socioeconomic factors;
E) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, rape, or fetal impairment;
F) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life, to her health*, or fetal impairment;
G) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life*, to her health*, or rape;
H) Legally restricted to cases of: Risk to woman's life or to her health;
I) Risk to woman's life;

J) Illegal with no exceptions.
Secret option K - Allow women to get an abortion for any reason during the first trimester. At any time afterwards, to get an abortion they must meet one of the requirements outlined in D.
1. Please write down, how should the Russian government deal with the Moscow riots and the anti-immigration Red-Brown alliance?
For this, I don’t really have an idea yet. Immigration helps soften the demographic catastrophe that is occurring as a generational result of the Great Patriotic War, but if we don’t take a stance, it could lead to increased radicalization that nobody wants.
 
Last edited:
Top